The American Kafir

2011/02/21

Libyan Diplomatic Defections Suggest Gadhafi in Trouble

Libyan Diplomatic Defections Suggest Gadhafi in Trouble
BEN BORG CARDONA/AFP/Getty Images
Protesters pray outside the Libyan Embassy in Malta after embassy staff joined them

Reports emerged Feb. 21 that Libyan diplomatic staff in various countries have been resigning their posts. Thus far, the Libyan ambassadors to Indonesia, Bangladesh, India, the United Kingdom (though he later denied the report) and the Arab League reportedly left their posts. Lower diplomatic officials in Malta and Poland also reportedly have resigned, and as of this writing, nine members the Libyan Embassy staff in London have reportedly left the building and joined demonstrators. No staff posted to a mission in an Arab country has yet resigned. In Cairo, Libya’s Arab League envoy said he had resigned to “join the revolution.”

Libyan Ambassador to China Hussein Sadiq al-Musrati was the first to resign Feb. 20, calling on all Libyan diplomatic staff to follow suit. Al-Musrati commented on a duel breaking out between Gadhafi’s rival sons, Seif al-Islam and Motasem, which has raised suspicions of a serious regime split.

In countries like Libya, the leader is the ultimate decision-maker in critical appointments, unlike in more pluralistic countries where bureaucracies play a role in such appointments and in the diplomatic domain in general. This means that Libyan ambassadors should be very well-plugged into the system to get appointed, and they probably made their loyalty to Gadhafi very clear.

Mass resignations of ambassadors could indicate that the diplomatic corps is picking up strong signals from within the Libyan regime that it is time to abandon Gadhafi. Their quitting is significant because they are well-aware of the price of disloyalty to the regime, so they must have obtained reliable information that their survival within the regime depends upon their abandoning Gadhafi.


Source URL: http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20110221-libyan-diplomatic-defections-suggest-gadhafi-trouble

Links:
[1] http://www.stratfor.com/theme/protests-libya-full-coverage

Libya: Airstrikes Hit Tripoli

February 21, 2011

Airstrikes have hit Al Joumhouria Street in Tripoli, Al Jazeera reported Feb. 21, citing eyewitness reports.

Libya: More On Diplomats Who Resigned In U.S.

February 21, 2011

The Libyan who resigned Feb. 21 from the Libyan Embassy in Washington, Saleh Ali al-Majbari and Jumaa Faris, denounced Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi, saying he is responsible for genocide against the Libyan people, Al Jazeera reported. The two said they had nothing to do with the events of the past few days and no longer represent Gadhafi’s regime but that they do represent the Libyan people. The two also called on U.S. President Barack Obama to push for the end of massacres of the Libyan people and asked the United Nations to impose a no-fly zone on Libya.

Libya: Army Officers Encourage Personnel To Join Demonstrators In Tripoli

February 21, 2011

Libyan army officers, in a Feb. 21 statement on Al Jazeera TV, called for all army personnel to join the people on the street in Tripoli and demonstrate in support of the removal of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi.

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